Climate data v. Reason magazine

 

A thought experiment for congregants of Misanthropic Global Warming. Data since 1900 show a decreasing temperature trend and an exploding population..

People are easier to count than tenths of a degree

Common Era Population Growth

Reason magazine has added a mathless science guy to our sources of documendacity, someone Zack evidently listens to.(link) The story is that although untampered data show no warming trend, warmunist scientist impersonators at the State Science Institute and Ministry of Truth have altered temperature data records cooling the past so as to create an apparent warming trend where thermometers say none exists.(link) (link)

This is another mutation of the 1960 Soviet prediction that unless greedy egoism is again disarmed (by a new set of Kristallnacht laws), we’re all gonna die.(link) Preceding that was Thomas Malthus, who–shortly after the calculus was developed and became widespread–predicted too soon a catastrophe based on 18th century technology and a linear hypothesis. Because Malthus and Paul Ehrlich both made math errors–the story goes–there is no problem, and anyone apprehensive about a population increasing vertically at 220,000 people a day on a planet of constant surface area is deluded. This is, again, too hasty a generalization.(link)

The math is not all that simple, granted.(link) But the second derivative (rate of change of rate of change) of the population growth curve changed sign in the early sixties–with birth control pills. Data show such a change happened twice before, in the mid-1300s when the Black Death spread from Asia to Europe, then again in secondary bubonic plague epidemics in the 15th and 16th centuries.

The second derivative went from positive to negative and the population curve itself did the same, albeit briefly, after nearly half of everyone died (some 200 million), then again because another 150 million or so died out of a population of about 600 million. The changes were quick because only a small fraction as many people existed when the plagues hit. Later, WWI and influenza made an almost invisible wobble in the data sequence.(link)

The pill was widespread when Reason became a thing, yet our second derivative had gone from positive to negative shortly before with 3.5 billion people alive. Now, after a half-century of growing less steep (after 11,950 years of steepening) the growth curve is still all but vertical and population increases by 7 million people a month. Even though that rate of change in the rate of change has been mainly decreasing since Hospers and Nathan were LP candidates and population was increasing by 76 million a year, world population is currently increasing by 80 million a year and will continue to increase for another century we get to zero population growth–barring some Malthusian disaster.

Nuclear electricity (as the reason article acknowledges) if freed of coercive strangulation, could enable humanity to continue along mathematical curves. If aggressive coercion prevails, nuclear and biological weapons can distort the curve to look like we’d been broadsided by bubonic plague or Great Leap Forward. During economic collapse, death rates can change really fast.(link)

Banking systems can also change pretty fast under coercive duress–this occurred in the 1920s.

Find out the juicy details behind the mother of all economic collapses, and how its causes changed the laws. Prohibition and The Crash–Cause and Effect in 1929 is available in two languages on Amazon Kindle, each at the cost of a pint of craft beer.

Brazilian blog

Breaking Free

Christianofascist girl-bullier alert!

Soldier of the Red Army! Do not give your sweetheart to be shamed and dishonored by the Hitler thugs.

The Soviet communist government had by late 1932 counterfeited troubling amounts of U.S. currency. This may been a destabilizing response to “our” President Herbert Clark Hoover’s Moratorium on Brains. (This was the economic intervention that helped Germany evade reparations payments, elect Hitler and rearm). The fact that ten years later those angry Soviet Socialists were allied with America against Christian National Socialism is a twist of irony so troubling that one ought not be surprised that altruists on both sides of that divide struggle to evade contemplating it.

American plutonium intended for NSDAP Germany was produced in graphite reactors. Electrical power reactors invented later used water for slowing neutrons. Not long after a poorly planned experiment wrecked one of the Chernobyl graphite reactors powering a huge antimissile radar antenna, the U.S. began ABM initiatives under the Second Amendment and a teenager landed a  plane near Red Square. The outcome was that that particular variant of communo-fascist socialism went into the dustbin and millions voted with their feet by fleeing into mercantilist mixed economy states in which “elections” featured a nominal choice between perhaps two parties instead of just the one.

Goodbye Lenin!

Accuracy of vote counts is presumably close to that of Louisiana or Venezuela

Mercantilist economies sicken as they emulate socialist coercion and become wealthier as they approach economic freedom and individual rights. This occurs in a smooth differentiable gradient with no tipping points or Malthusian disasters–at least not in the direction of coercion reduction. Only socialist dictatorships left landscapes so poisoned that over two decades later vast areas are barely habitable at all. Rising from the wreckage is the Ukraine, now struggling to build a Libertarian Party.  In neighboring Russia, communism still gets close to 10% of the vote, but that is easily less than the number of U.S. voters eager for totalitarianism.

In These United States the Democratic party, by the CPUSA’s own admission, is a socialist enough soviet to produce candidates satisfactory to devout Leninists. That party still gets over half the popular vote, but its membership is shrinking. Republican Prohibitionists and Dixiecrat die-hards have also been dropping dead since 1972.  Only the persistence of Nixon-era campaign subsidies protect The Kleptocracy from rapid replacement, but that replacement is nonetheless inexorable.

For more on how Republican prohibitionism crushed the U.S. economy and brought on the Great Depression, why not download Prohibition and The Crash–Cause and Effect in 1929? The book is live on Amazon Kindle and you can read it on a cellphone for the cost of a craft pint at a pub.

cause and effect

Prohibition and The Crash, on Amazon Kindle

simultaneous interpreting, legal and financial

Why Libertarians are Gaining

By libertarians I mean card-carrying, NAP-signing, dues-paying citizens who actually vote libertarian and donate to help candidates earn law-changing spoiler votes. People like Nick Sarwark, Gary Johnson and Kathie Glass of Austin and the late John Hospers, our first candidate and later an organizer of the Libertarian Defense Caucus. The LDC was opposed to surrendering to the USSR while some LP infiltrators were pushing that very idea. Here are the hockey-stick results in terms of law-changing votes.

What we have today, thanks to the laws and policies already changed by the LP, is a non-communist Russia surrounded by former victims of totalitarianism. Russia’s communist party vote is falling about as fast as the number of U.S. voters eager to send men with guns to force women into unwanted labor. Not only are the grotesque disadvantages of coercion becoming harder and harder to ignore, but willingness to vote libertarian is increasing so fast that the Kleptocracy and its mouthpieces are hard-pressed to distort, bury and omit the rising LP vote count.

The same tactics are in place to crush freedom in the Ukraine. But guess what? Individualist stalwarts are forming a Ukraine Libertarian Party. Here are the top two bullets on their to-do list:

  • Individual liberty is above the common good
  • Interests of the citizens are above interests of the state

If these priorities seem contrary to German National Socialism’s Christian altruist motto:

  • The Common Good before the Individual Good: Gemeinnutz vor Eigennutz

You got that right!  They have trite and wordy “ethics” laundry list in place of the Non-Aggression Principle young Ayn Rand penned while Allies lustily tried and hanged Nazi war criminals. This Non-Aggression Principle keeps the LP focused on the end game, and disarms entrenched kleptocrats who since 1972 have striven for ways to betray and brand us as terrorists, anarchists, disloyal, etc…

Reading through the Ukraine proto-LP English web page is heartwarming. They even know the correct meaning of the word “liberal,” retasked by frustrated republicans in 1932 to mean bootlegging communist race-suicide Carnegie Institute traitor. Democrats have proudly worn the label with that meaning. Foreigners are puzzled and simultaneous interpreters irritated at having to decide on a dime whether the pre-or post-1932 version of “liberal” is being misrepresented.

Our friends in the Ukraine are setting a proud example.

For more on how Republican prohibitionism crushed the U.S. economy and brought on the Great Depression, why not download Prohibition and The Crash–cause and Effect in 1929? The book is live on Amazon Kindle and you can read it on a cellphone for the cost of a craft pint at a pub.

cause and effect

Prohibition and The Crash, on Amazon Kindle

simultaneous interpreting, legal and financial