North Carolina LP Growth

Roe v Wade Libertarian victory

Pro-choice NC Libertarian Party performance

by Brad Hessel, copied from their Facebook page
Another year, another new all-time record for the Libertarian Party of North Carolina.

In a year in which the number of registered voters overall in NC declined by 4%—due to the usual off-election year purge of inactive voters—the number of registered Libertarians edged up 3% to a new all-time high of 39,631 as of the end of 2019. In contrast, the number of Democrats declined 7% year-over-year, Republicans lost 4%, and even the number of independent (“unaffiliated”) voters declined by 1%.

The 2019 purge was the second biggest in the last 26 years (as far back as our annual data go), exceeded only by a 5% reduction in the voter rolls in 2001. The declines were the worst ever for the Ds, second worst ever for the Us, and tied for second worst for the Rs during that time span. It was also the slowest annual growth rate recorded for the LPNC (excepting the three years we were off the ballot, the number of registered Ls in NC has never declined year-over-year).

Bucking the trend were the two new parties: the number of Green party members was up 90% in 2019 to 1,938 and the Constitutionalists did even better, up 217% to 2,786. The Greens—who had a head start in 2018—started the year ahead of the Constitutionalists, but are now decidedly eating the latters’ dust.

Looking at the entire quarter century, the LPNC continues to lead the pack with a robust compounded annual growth rate of 14% compared to 8% for independents, 2% for Republicans, and 1% for Democrats. The Rs and Ds are consistently failing to keep pace with the overall 3% CAGR for the number of voters. The Democrats have grown slower/declined faster than the overall number of voters 25 out of the last 26 years, only beating the average in 2008 thanks to Barack Obama. The Republicans have beaten the average 11 times…but their last win was in 2004 and they are currently on a 15-year losing streak.

Overall, the percentage of voters registered as either D or R—the “Ubinger rating”—fell to an all-time low of 66.58% at the end of 2019, down (as it has been every year for 26 years in a row) from 91.87% in 1993. ***

Libertarian organizations like the NCLP are what brought us the pro-choice hockey stick vote share growth tracked by Fisher-Pry and other logistic growth curves.

History shows us that a growing small party gets its platform plagiarized by both halves of the entrenched kleptocracy. Every time votes flow away from a decayed and derelict political party, its swineherds get the message no amount of self-deception can distort.  Laws change as a result. The technical term for causing the looters to change bad laws is winning.

Find out the juicy details behind the mother of all economic collapses, and how its causes changed the laws. Prohibition and The Crash–Cause and Effect in 1929 is available in two languages on Amazon Kindle, each at the cost of a pint of craft beer.

Brazilian blog

Pascal’s Wager v. Freedom

Nobody can know anything

Are facts unknowable before death?

There was a time when politicians called attention to their party’s platform, predicting that its planks would benefit undecided voters. The obverse strategy, now in vogue, claims that the opposition candidate’s secret plans are an existential threat to the life and liberty of the voter being gulled, and to the future of all life on earth. Only the looter demanding your vote pretends to know anything. In its epistemology, the premise is that you cannot know the facts–not until AFTER you’re dead–so there is no point in trying. Instead, you should play it safe, obey, believe what the persuader is telling you.(link) Since the other premise is that you’ll be dead before you could possibly notice it’s a lie, as the conundrum is set up, you can only lose by disobeying the instruction to sacrifice knowledge and settle instead for belief.

screw the Bill of Rights!

No ABM! Freeze and Surrender!

This was the argument against the Second Amendment during the Cold War, and it persuaded Richard Nixon and his Republicans to betray the Bill of Rights. If Tricky were right, he’d be no worse off than Quisling or Petain.(link) If wrong, the communists assured him all life on Earth would end and it wouldn’t be their fault–all they ever do is initiate the use of force–just like Republicans. It was a slow-motion replay of the Molotov-Ribbendtop pact, but with America, not Poland, in the victim’s hood.

A similar gambit nowadays is the “argument” persuading 12-year-olds against generation of electric power, or persons innocent of mathematical sophistry against voting for candidates running on the Libertarian Party platform. Conservatism on both the fascist and communist sides seeks to keep the same decrepit parties in power, and crush new ones in the cradle lest their spoiler votes repeal tax laws.(link

13th Amendment Superhero

Energy Slaves, not Human Slaves!

Energy nihilists reject the R Bucky Fuller notion of energy as our working servant, and will settle for nothing less than a reversion to actual human slavery. Asking for evidence, of course, merely identifies you as an apostate, infidel, denier–precisely at this delicate juncture that is the tipping-point beyond which “Abandon All Hope” prevails.(link) This is unless you repent and believe that “Arbeit Macht Frei” and vote some looter ticket. Nevermind that its congregants do not know the definition of energy and are unsullied by any grasp of its dimensions or units of measure.(link) People who are against energy invariably favor coercion as the approach to problem-solving.

Nolan's wager

Vote for what you value, and that vote will help make it happen–with added interest!

Political nihilists are baffled by consistency. Your one vote in 133 million does nothing to change an election outcome–unless you leverage that vote by casting it for the Libertarian ticket. Then when a prohibitionist bigot loses by a smaller margin than the LP vote slice, a message is received. That candidate suddenly realizes that girl-bullying or ordering cops to shoot kids just cost an entire series of government paychecks.

Conversely, when libertarian spoiler votes cause some nonreligious totalitarian to lose to someone not in favor of higher taxes and collectivized rights charged to others at gunpoint, that message is not soon forgotten.(link) Losing, to activists in both looter parties, means not getting hired. To libertarians, winning is changing bad laws.(link)

All you have to do is vote honestly for legal policies you prefer and, if these are libertarian, your vote packs something like 20 times the law-changing clout. The Pascal’s Wager bluff did not make you surrender and fold your hand, but call and compare the strength or your convictions with fake kleptocracy premises, thereby raising the stakes by adding your own values to the table. This is a win-win approach to getting rid of bad laws.(link)

Find out the juicy details behind the mother of all economic collapses. Prohibition and The Crash–Cause and Effect in 1929 is available in two languages on Amazon Kindle, each at the cost of a pint of craft beer.

Brazilian blog

Many Words and Many Lies

You are getting sleepy...

The vertical axis shows the number of words (blue line). The US Constitution is 7583 words

The U.S. Constitution is the shortest on the American continents. All of the people’s states, caudillo juntas and banana republics have constitutions up to ten times as wordy as the U.S. Constitution. People face danger and expense in order to flee those countries and try to enter These United States, not each other’s countries. Is this coincidence? Is the number of words or pages in a country’s Constitution a negative indicator for individual freedom and prosperity? Continue reading

Libertarian view of Impeachment

While Reason magazine struggles to platform foreigners eager to import the entire population of Pakistan and the banana republics via uninspected entry, Tarl Warwick is not troubled by the wall or inspection. Neither am I. I never vote for communist or fascist kleptocrats now that I have the option of voting against coercion and aggression as policy, in exchange for more than 20 times the law-changing clout. (link)

The guy is wise beyond his years, educated, speaks well and thinks on his feet. Here is someone who lives in the real world as opposed to the looter parties’ Altruria or Fourth Reich. Check it out.

Here is the lowdown on why not one LP vote is ever wasted, and they ALL repeal bad laws.(link)

Much of the political strife of that era, and its economic consequences repeated today, are covered in Prohibition and The Crash–Cause and Effect in 1929. Live on Amazon Kindle in two languages

ProhicrashAmazon

I also produce books and articles in Portuguese, using Brazilian historical sources at http://www.expatriotas.blogspot.com or amigra.us

Faith-based and community initiatives, 1929

Five months before the Crash, the market’s reaction to the certainty of the impending Great Depression, Winston Churchill was still sweet on Mussolini, who had allowed faith-based conditioning of students into government schools. But that can’t happen here, right? What George Bush did after his reelection was nothing like Italian Fascism, right? See Bush Jr. Executive Order 13198 (link)

You tell me. The Canadian clipping above says:

Mussolini Introduces Bill For Intensive Teaching of Religion to Youth of Italy… ROME, April 30 (1929)–Intensive teaching of Religion in Italian schools is contemplated in a new bill presented to the Fascist parliament by Mussolini, as a consequence of the treaty recently concluded with the Vatican.
Young Italy in the future, in the words of education Minister Signor Belluzzo, “will be permitted, or rather fortified, by the lofty spiritual contents of the Roman Catholic religion and its sacred character of a cult with the tradition of two thousand years,”
This makes it clear that the extension of religious instruction in state schools, particularly desired by the Vatican, will be carried out to the letter and the government has already circularized teachers asking them to do all in their power to form a new generation in Italy that will be “Christian in thought, sentiment and action.”
Teachers are ordered to collaborate with the clergy to this end.

Go to Google News Archives for the Calgary Herald (link) for the original in context.

If that is reminiscent of Bush dynasty perpetuation of Republican asset-forfeiture prohibitionism, or of the tone and tenor of this newspaper (link), welcome to The Ominous Parallels. Right now is a good time for the Libertarian Party to stop encouraging invasions by uninspected entry, and to stand up, as we did in 1972, for the individual rights of women. (link) (link)

Democrats who would prefer John F Kennedy to Kruschev, Ceauscescu, Castro, Maduro, Kim Jong-un, Xi Jinping, Bernie, Biden, Pocahontas or the like could perhaps be persuaded to cast libertarian spoiler votes in 2020–rather than waste suffrage on the brainwashees of totalitarian dogma. Voting Libertarian does not endorse any form of fascism, and the leveraged effect is stupendous.(link) When Nixon was elected a thimbleful of hemp seeds was cause for stripping an 18-year-old of all property AND a two-year term in prison.

Get the juicy details behind the mother of all economic collapses. Prohibition and The Crash–Cause and Effect in 1929 is available in two languages on Amazon Kindle, each at the cost of a pint of craft beer.

Live on Amazon Kindle in 2 languages

Brazilian blog

Cognitive Mental Blocks

Ecological National Socialists have no trouble understanding how two logical variables yield four possibilities when it suits their agenda. The NFPA circulates the above (admittedly garbled) chart in support of violent laws against anything liable to interrupt a game of dominoes at the government-owned fire station.

Genetics offers another illustration:

But teevee, subsidized by the Nixon anti-libertarian law to ignore everything except kleptocracy, can only focus on three possibilities.

Yet those same intellectuals become one-dimensional when challenged to understand anything that lies outside the Venn Diagram circles encompassing socialism in its populist and communo-fascist variants. A blinkered looter visualizes a straight line running from Hitler/Mussolini/Franco to Stalin/Ceausescu/Mao with nothing in between but religious gradations of socialist and mystical altruism.

To the entire satisfaction of mystical prohibitionists, adding alcohol to water eventually transubstantiates the latter into a Satanic alcoholic beverage, and adding (non-mohammedan) religion to a heavily-mixed economy gradually changes it from “bad” socialism to (by their lights) “good” fascism. Nowadays fascists and socialists alike refer to their own system as “democracy” and that other one, respectively, as socialism or fascism.

In These States the Tordesillas line was drawn at an alcoholic content of 0.5% in the Prohibition Enforcement act drawn up by Andrew Volstead of Minnesota. This distinction also made sauerkraut evil, Satanic and illegal. But when this law enforcing the Prohibition Amendment flipped off the lights of freedom on the night of January 16th, 1920, the U.S. Senate, by declining to be a party to the Treaty of Versailles, kept us technically at war with Germany, or The Accursed Hun as it was known at the time. So no True American™ really cared about sauerkraut.

Among today’s fanatics–struggling to ban electric power or plant leaves instead of beer–none have even the foggiest notion or how an individual right might be defined. To them a right is something the world owes them at your expense, not a moral claim to freedom of action. Most puzzling to this mentality is confrontation with the Nolan Diagram. Even survivors of the Argentine educational system can grasp a 2-gradient chart between freedom and orders at gunpoint when broken down according to the two primary contexts (individual personhood and agency as homo economicus) from which they fish for pretexts to justify aggression at gunpoint.

Here is an Argentine version of the Nolan Chart in its version tilted so as to allow the one-dementional to superimpose upon it their own universe of discourse confined to a horizontal line extending from Hitler to Stalin.

To American National Socialists, for whom Herbert Hoover, Richard Nixon and George Wallace are plain, regular folks, this Argentine chart makes no sense whatsoever. Ever since Carnegie Institute Liberals formed an anti-Klan, pro-Beer party in 1930, then published a platform demanding the repeal of the Prohibition Amendment, the word liberal changed its meaning. Shortly before Election Day, in late October of 1932, the ruling coalition redefined liberal to mean “godless communist drunkards who hate America” in the costume of its own imaginings.

Citizens of civilized nations are utterly baffled by this coinage–minted as it were in the very heart of the Sahara of the Bozarts over which Richmond Hobson of Alabama, Morris Sheppard of Texas and Volstead shone beatifically as the very embodiment of the Holy Trinity… while voters locked the head of the Republican Party into the stocks of the guillotine and gave the lever a satisfying tug.

Pero, no, y evite Evita

Argentine Libertarian Party

Eighty-seven years later, liberal everywhere else in the world still means libertarian. Cowardly, spineless, unprincipled or gelded libertarian, true enough, but libertarian or liberal is in both cases lies at the root of the noun denoting an individual who recognizes the individual rights of fellow human beings–even in opposition to the Divine “right” (meaning sanction to murder and rob) of kings, popes, caudillos and klans. 

So all is not lost. Looter values begin and end with “we must issue the following orders at gunpoint” because (__insert rationalizing pretext__). If the pretext is “because the Bible says altruism is good,” then the speaker is fascist-prohibitionist-totalitarian in value orientation. If the pretext is “because selfishness feels like it ought to be denounced as evil,” then the speaker is a conditioned socialist-collectivist-communist-totalitarian.

Argentinos–politically separated by a papal line on a map–cannot completely let go of the one-dimensional lay/progressive v. religious/fascist differentiation. But today they at least they grasp the concept of how two related choices generate four possible outcomes. That’s progress Americans would do well to understand.

Get the complete explanation of the 1929 Crash in Prohibition and The Crash on Amazon Kindle in two languages

ProhicrashAmazon

Prohibition and The Crash, on Amazon Kindle

I also produce books and articles in Portuguese, using Brazilian historical sources at http://www.expatriotas.blogspot.com or amigra.us

Prohibition and Finance

How many dollars flowed through the illegal liquor, beer & wine business in 1929? Historians assure us that liquor consumption did decrease by as much as 40% under the dry law. Supposing that to be true we could use 60% of the ASL guesstimate as a proxy for the volume of liquids. But making a thing illegal is one of the most effective ways to raise its price. Marijuana prices have fallen by roughly 2 orders of magnitude after decriminalization in some areas, but beer doesn’t grow on bushes.

My estimate after 20 years of gathering figures is that beverages became four times as expensive under prohibition. Applying that multiple to 60% of the guesstimated 1914 liquor total yields 4.2 billion gold dollars. But the U.S. population had grown dramatically between the night of January 16, 1920 and the unleashing of Herbert Hoover and the 5&10 law upon the corn sugar and yeast industry that produced at least 80% and possibly as much as 95% of all the illegal beverage consumed occurred in 1929. Adding the effect of the 14% population growth that decade gives $4.8 billion. So how does that dollar amount compare to the size of the U.S. economy of 1929? (Hint: it was more than the Federal budget–about 5% of GNP). The Wickersham Commission, appointed to downplay the total, came up with a slightly smaller figure. Clark Warburton, the economist who coined “Gross National Product,” came up with a slightly higher figure.

That’s right. Gangland trafficpreneurs had more income from liquor alone than the Federal Government got from corporate and individual income taxes, customs tariffs and the squeeze put on States. God fights on the side with the biggest budget, so of course repeal won, thanks to the Liberal Party repeal plank.

Find out the juicy details behind the mother of all economic collapses. Prohibition and The Crash–Cause and Effect in 1929 is available in two languages on Amazon Kindle, each at the cost of a pint of craft beer.

Live on Amazon Kindle in 2 languages

Brazilian blog